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Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction: Tyrese Haliburton Returns Against Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Tyrese Haliburton leads the run-and-gun Indiana Pacers into Paycom Center to face Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the defending West powerhouse Thunder. Expert Pick: Thunder -5.5 & Over 232.5 (Projected Score: IND 98 - OKC 148).

Rafael Dizon
Rafael Dizon (Tactical Analyst & Columnist)
Published Oct 15, 2026, 1:37 PM PHT
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Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preseason Prediction Featured Image
Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Preseason Prediction Featured ImagePhoto: Official NBA Preseason Action (IND & OKC) / TipOffPh

MANILA / NBA DESK — Tyrese Haliburton leads the run-and-gun Indiana Pacers into Paycom Center to face Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the defending West powerhouse Thunder.

Matchup & Broadcast Details

- **Matchup:** Indiana Pacers (2-2 Preseason) at Oklahoma City Thunder (3-1 Preseason)

- **Tip-Off Time:** 8:00 AM PHT (8:00 PM EDT)

- **Arena:** Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

- **Spread / Total:** OKC -5.5 | O/U 232.5 | Moneyline: OKC -210 / IND +175

Preseason Fight Breakdown & Tactical Analysis

Tyrese Haliburton looked electric in his return to Oklahoma City, pouring in 24 first-half points with effortless deep pull-up shooting and transition dimes to Pascal Siakam.

Oklahoma City answers with unmatched perimeter length and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s surgical mid-range mastery, supported by Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams.

Prediction Verdict: Expect the highest-scoring game of the slate as both top-5 offenses push the pace past 230 combined points, with OKC edging out a tight overtime-caliber finish at home.

Star Matchup Spotlight

- **Indiana Pacers Key Performer:** Tyrese Haliburton (PG • #0) — 24.0 PTS • 8.5 AST • 50% 3PT

- **Oklahoma City Thunder Key Performer:** Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG • #2) — 25.4 PTS • 6.2 AST • 2.4 STL

Key Betting & Rotation Trends

- Tyrese Haliburton connected on 5 first-half three-pointers in his return to Paycom Center.

- Oklahoma City forces an NBA-best 18.4 turnovers per game in preseason play.

- Both teams rank top-3 in transition frequency and early-clock three-point volume.

Final Prediction & Score Projection

**Projected Final Score:** Oklahoma City Thunder win, **IND 98 – OKC 148**

**Official TipOffPh Pick:** **Thunder -5.5 & Over 232.5** (90% Model Confidence)

Reporting Transparency & Sourcing

Information in this story was reported by TipOffPh editorial staff and verified against TipOffPh NBA Analytics & Preseason Desk. Original Reference

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